{"id":10069,"date":"2025-10-29T13:15:06","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:15:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/?p=10069"},"modified":"2025-10-29T13:27:58","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T12:27:58","slug":"future-of-conflicts-a-vision-of-what-is-to-come","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/future-of-conflicts-a-vision-of-what-is-to-come\/","title":{"rendered":"Future of Conflicts \u2013 A Vision of What Is to Come"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"top-authors\">NDC Insight 06-2025: <em>Future of Conflicts \u2013 A Vision of What Is to Come<\/em>, by Nicolas Minvielle, Marie Roussie and Romane Thomas<a href=\"#authors\" data-type=\"internal\" data-id=\"#authors\"><sup data-fn=\"89e296b4-37c8-4dac-aa88-eb6862d5fe06\" class=\"fn\"><\/sup>1<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"2232\" height=\"1267\" src=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0.jpg\" alt=\"NDC Insight 06\/2025 \" class=\"wp-image-10070\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0.jpg 2232w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-445x253.jpg 445w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-1024x581.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-768x436.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-1536x872.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-2048x1163.jpg 2048w, https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-18x10.jpg 18w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2232px) 100vw, 2232px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">NDC Insight 06\/2025 <\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Foresight is intended to inform and illuminate the future.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\">But what if instead it serves to build conceptual blinkers regarding the nature of future conflicts? This paper presents a quantitative and qualitative study of close to 100 foresight reports recently produced by NATO, its members and partners. These are placed in perspective alongside studies from adversarial countries, as well as narratives drawn from institutional science fiction.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class='w3eden'><!-- WPDM Link Template: Default Template -->\n\n<div class=\"link-template-default card mb-2\">\n    <div class=\"card-body\">\n        <div class=\"media\">\n            <div class=\"mr-3 img-48\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wpdm_icon\" alt=\"Ic\u00f4ne\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/future150.png\" \/><\/div>\n            <div class=\"media-body\">\n                <h3 class=\"package-title\"><a href='https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/download\/future-of-conflicts-a-vision-of-what-is-to-come\/'>Future of Conflicts - A Vision of What Is to Come<\/a><\/h3>\n                <div class=\"text-muted text-small\"><i class=\"fas fa-copy\"><\/i> 1 fichier\u00b7s <i class=\"fas fa-hdd ml-3\"><\/i> 4 MB<\/div>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"ml-3\">\n                <a class='wpdm-download-link download-on-click btn btn-primary btn-xs' rel='nofollow' href='#' data-downloadurl=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/download\/future-of-conflicts-a-vision-of-what-is-to-come\/?wpdmdl=10067&refresh=6a5be357754b01784406871\">T\u00e9l\u00e9charger<\/a>\n            <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\">NDC Public Affairs Office<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"authors\" class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Nicolas Minvielle<\/strong> holds a PhD in Economics from EHESS. As a graduate of IEP Strasbourg and Kyushu University in Japan, he began his career as Brand Director for Philippe Starck, before becoming Head of the Specialized Master\u2019s course in Marketing, Design and Creation at Audencia Business School.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Marie Roussie<\/strong>. As a young researcher on the use of fiction in innovation, specializing in military topics after working on the <em>Red Team D\u00e9fense<\/em>, Marie has spent the past three years methodically examining the approaches to the future developed by the French armed forces.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Romane Thomas. <\/strong>As a Master\u2019s student in the Department of War Studies at King\u2019s College London, Romane was introduced to foresight as an analyst at Alt-A and through various projects carried out with the French Ministry of Armed Forces. <a href=\"#top-authors\" data-type=\"internal\" data-id=\"#top-authors\">\u21a9\ufe0e<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NDC Insight 06-2025: Future of Conflicts \u2013 A Vision of What Is to Come, by Nicolas Minvielle, Marie<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":10070,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","editor_plus_copied_stylings":"{}","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":"[{\"content\":\"Nicolas holds a PhD in Economicsfrom EHESS.<br>\",\"id\":\"89e296b4-37c8-4dac-aa88-eb6862d5fe06\"}]"},"categories":[3,79,82],"tags":[],"post_badge":[],"class_list":["post-10069","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-publications","category-the-future-series"],"featured_image_src":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0.jpg","author_info":{"display_name":"Narantsatsral Enkhbat","author_link":""},"modified_by":"NDC Public Affairs Office","author_meta":{"display_name":"Narantsatsral Enkhbat","author_link":""},"featured_img":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-445x253.jpg","featured_image_urls":{"full":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0.jpg",2232,1267,false],"thumbnail":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-150x150.jpg",150,150,true],"medium":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-445x253.jpg",445,253,true],"medium_large":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-768x436.jpg",640,363,true],"large":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-1024x581.jpg",640,363,true],"1536x1536":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-1536x872.jpg",1536,872,true],"2048x2048":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-2048x1163.jpg",2048,1163,true],"trp-custom-language-flag":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-18x10.jpg",18,10,true],"morenews-featured":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-1024x581.jpg",1024,581,true],"morenews-large":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-825x575.jpg",825,575,true],"morenews-medium":["https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/insigh_2025-06_0-590x410.jpg",590,410,true]},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/publications\/\" rel=\"category tag\">Publications<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/publications\/the-future-series\/\" rel=\"category tag\">The Future Series<\/a>","tag_info":"The Future Series","comment_count":0,"coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/publications\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Publications<\/a>","<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/publications\/the-future-series\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">The Future Series<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">Publications<\/span>","<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">The Future Series<\/span>"]}},"relative_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 9 mois il y a","modified":"Mis \u00e0 jour 9 mois il y a"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le octobre 29, 2025","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le octobre 29, 2025"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le octobre 29, 2025 13:15","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le octobre 29, 2025 13:27"},"featured_img_caption":"NDC Insight 06\/2025 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