{"id":13475,"date":"2022-07-27T17:25:07","date_gmt":"2022-07-27T16:25:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/russias-military-after-ukraine-down-but-not-out\/"},"modified":"2026-01-15T09:36:31","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T08:36:31","slug":"russias-military-after-ukraine-down-but-not-out","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/russias-military-after-ukraine-down-but-not-out\/","title":{"rendered":"Russia\u2019s military after Ukraine: down but not out"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<ul class=\"list_homepage\">\n<li>\nNDC Policy Brief 13-22: <em><a href=\"\/fr\/download\/downloads.php\/?icode=774\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\"> Russia\u2019s military after Ukraine: down but not out<\/a><\/em>, by<br \/>\nLukasz Kulesa  <a href=\"#_edn0\" name=\"_ednref0\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >*<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\nThe June 2022 Madrid Summit decided on the<br \/>\nnext steps in enhancing the Alliance\u2019s deterrence<br \/>\nposture, describing Russia as \u201cthe<br \/>\nmost significant and direct threat to Allies\u2019 security<br \/>\nand to peace and stability in the Euro-Atlantic area\u201d.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >1<\/a><br \/>\nThe poor performance of the Russian forces in the<br \/>\nfirst months of their war against Ukraine and the<br \/>\nscale of casualties and material losses they suffered<br \/>\nshould however prompt further reflection about Russia\u2019s<br \/>\nability to recover and challenge NATO militarily.<br \/>\nIf the Russian military seems unable to prevail over<br \/>\nUkrainian forces (supported by a number of NATO<br \/>\ncountries), it may reasonably be asked whether unrolling<br \/>\n\u201cthe biggest overhaul of our collective defence<br \/>\nand deterrence since the end of the Cold War\u201d<a href=\"#_edn2\" name=\"_ednref2\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >2<\/a> is justified.\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">This <em>Policy Brief<\/em> argues that NATO\u2019s goals to shore up the Eastern flank are indeed warranted for three reasons \u2013 Russia\u2019s political will to claim a victory, evidence of learning from past mistakes, and the existing Russian industrial capacity. In fact, the Russian military will probably experience a relatively speedy recovery. With the caveat that much is contingent on day-to-day developments and the ultimate outcome of the war, it is also plausible that Russia will \u201cbuild back better\u201d rather than simply rebuild a military which has proven to be ill-prepared for the operation against Ukraine. <\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><a href=\"\/fr\/download\/downloads.php\/?icode=774\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\"><br \/>\nDownload the publication<\/a> to keep reading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: smaller; color: darkslategrey ; margin-top:-1em;\">\n<div>\n<div id=\"edn0\">\n        <sup>*<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref0\" name=\"_edn0\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>Lukasz Kulesa is Deputy Head of Research at the Polish Institute of<br \/>\nInternational Affairs (PISM) and Senior Associate Fellow at the European<br \/>\nLeadership Network.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"edn1\">\n        <sup>1<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>NATO 2022 Strategic Concept, paragraph 8.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"edn2\">\n        <sup>2<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref2\" name=\"_edn2\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>Remarks by NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg and US President<br \/>\nJoe Biden at the start of the 2022 NATO Summit, 29 June 2022.\n  <\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><span class=\"np\"><a href=\"\/fr\/research\/research.php\/?icode=6\" target=\"_blank\">More Research Division Publications&#8230;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>NDC Public Affairs Office<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NDC Policy Brief 13-22: Russia\u2019s military after Ukraine: down but not out, by Lukasz Kulesa * The June<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","editor_plus_copied_stylings":"{}","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"post_badge":[],"class_list":["post-13475","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"modified_by":null,"author_meta":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"featured_img":null,"featured_image_urls":{"full":"","thumbnail":"","medium":"","medium_large":"","large":"","1536x1536":"","2048x2048":"","trp-custom-language-flag":"","morenews-featured":"","morenews-large":"","morenews-medium":""},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","tag_info":"News","comment_count":0,"coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/span>"]}},"relative_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 4 ans il y a","modified":"Mis \u00e0 jour 6 mois il y a"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le juillet 27, 2022","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le juillet 27, 2022 17:25","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026 09:36"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13475","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13475"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13475\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13475"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13475"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13475"},{"taxonomy":"post_badge","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_badge?post=13475"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}