{"id":13547,"date":"2022-12-07T14:35:07","date_gmt":"2022-12-07T13:35:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/the-cuban-missile-crisis-the-russia-ukraine-war-and-nuclear-risks\/"},"modified":"2026-01-15T09:37:45","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T08:37:45","slug":"the-cuban-missile-crisis-the-russia-ukraine-war-and-nuclear-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/the-cuban-missile-crisis-the-russia-ukraine-war-and-nuclear-risks\/","title":{"rendered":"The Cuban Missile Crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war and nuclear risks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<ul class=\"list_homepage\">\n<li>\nNDC Policy Brief 20-22: <em><a href=\"\/download\/downloads.php?icode=786\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\"><br \/>\nThe Cuban Missile Crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war and nuclear risks<\/a><\/em>, by  Jean-Yves Haine<a href=\"#_edn0\" name=\"_ednref0\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >*<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">On 6 October 2022, in New York City, President<br \/>\nBiden acknowledged to Democrat donors<br \/>\nthat, \u201cwe have not faced the prospect<br \/>\nof Armageddon since Kennedy and the Cuban Missile<br \/>\nCrisis\u201d. Russian President Putin, he added, was<br \/>\nserious about using nuclear, biological, or chemical<br \/>\nweapons because \u201chis military [was], you might say,<br \/>\nsignificantly underperforming\u201d.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >1<\/a> Is he right? How<br \/>\ndangerous was the Cuban Missile Crisis? What lessons<br \/>\ncan NATO draw from this historical moment?<br \/>\nAn analysis of both the sequence of events during the<br \/>\nCrisis and retrospective views of the decision makers<br \/>\ninvolved points to the affirmative. Moscow\u2019s nuclear<br \/>\nrhetoric during its war with Ukraine may bring NATO<br \/>\nto a different yet equally dangerous confrontation.<br \/>\nThe nuclear standoff between the Soviet Union and<br \/>\nUnited States over Cuba points to the importance of<br \/>\nreputation, risk taking, command-and-control, and<br \/>\nsheer desperation that may at any point escalate to<br \/>\na nuclear exchange. For NATO and the Allies, lessons<br \/>\ninclude the need for risk reduction, recognition<br \/>\nof potential errors and accidents, managing Ukrainian<br \/>\nexpectations, and dialogue with Russia.<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><a href=\"\/download\/downloads.php?icode=786\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\"><br \/>\nDownload the publication<\/a> to keep reading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: smaller; color: darkslategrey ; margin-top:-1em;\">\n<div>\n<div id=\"edn0\">\n        <sup>*<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref0\" name=\"_edn0\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a ><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>Professor at the Sorbonne Nouvelle Paris 3 and Sciences Po Paris.<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"edn1\">\n        <sup>1<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a ><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>D. E. Sanger, \u201cBiden turns to lessons from the Cuban Missile Crisis<br \/>\nto deal with Putin\u2019s nuclear threat\u201d, <em>The New York Times<\/em>, 9 October 2022.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><span class=\"np\"><a href=\"\/research\/research.php?icode=6\" target=\"_blank\">More Research Division Publications&#8230;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>NDC Public Affairs Office<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NDC Policy Brief 20-22: The Cuban Missile Crisis, the Russia-Ukraine war and nuclear risks, by Jean-Yves Haine* On<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","editor_plus_copied_stylings":"{}","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"post_badge":[],"class_list":["post-13547","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"modified_by":null,"author_meta":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"featured_img":null,"featured_image_urls":{"full":"","thumbnail":"","medium":"","medium_large":"","large":"","1536x1536":"","2048x2048":"","trp-custom-language-flag":"","morenews-featured":"","morenews-large":"","morenews-medium":""},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","tag_info":"News","comment_count":0,"coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/span>"]}},"relative_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 4 ans il y a","modified":"Mis \u00e0 jour 6 mois il y a"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le d\u00e9cembre 7, 2022","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le d\u00e9cembre 7, 2022 14:35","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026 09:37"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13547","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13547"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13547\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13547"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13547"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13547"},{"taxonomy":"post_badge","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_badge?post=13547"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}