{"id":13584,"date":"2023-02-17T14:30:07","date_gmt":"2023-02-17T13:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/the-iran-nuclear-deal-consequences-of-moribund-diplomacy\/"},"modified":"2026-01-15T09:38:21","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T08:38:21","slug":"the-iran-nuclear-deal-consequences-of-moribund-diplomacy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/the-iran-nuclear-deal-consequences-of-moribund-diplomacy\/","title":{"rendered":"The Iran nuclear deal: consequences of moribund diplomacy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<ul class=\"list_homepage\">\n<li>\nNDC Policy Brief 03-2023: <em><a href=\"\/fr\/download\/downloads.php\/?icode=793\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\">The Iran nuclear deal: consequences of moribund diplomacy<\/a><\/em>, by Mark Fitzpatrick<a href=\"#_edn0\" name=\"_ednref0\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >*<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><br>On 4 November 2022, United States President<br \/>\nJoe Biden privately remarked that the 2015<br \/>\nIran nuclear accord known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was \u201cdead\u201d, but<br \/>\nthat the US would not formally say so.<a href=\"#_edn1\" name=\"_ednref1\" title=\"\" class=\"sup\" >1<\/a><br \/>\n US working-level officials insist a return to the deal remains<br \/>\npossible, but efforts to revive it are increasingly<br \/>\nfraught. For months, Iran\u2019s leaders have appeared<br \/>\nuninterested in complying with the deal, instead<br \/>\nconditioning their country\u2019s return on unrealistic demands that the International Atomic Energy Agency<br \/>\n(IAEA) cease investigation into signs of Iran\u2019s past<br \/>\nnuclear weapons development. Since mid-September<br \/>\n2022, Western attention has been distracted by other aspects of Tehran\u2019s foreign and domestic policy,<br \/>\nincluding the regime\u2019s brutal crackdown of domestic<br \/>\nprotests against female veiling rules, its complicity in<br \/>\nRussian drone attacks in Ukraine, and its dubious detention of US and European citizens. With political<br \/>\nroom for a diplomatic solution rapidly evaporating,<br \/>\nand Iran\u2019s \u201cbreakout period\u201d for producing weapons-grade highly enriched uranium (HEU) shortened<br \/>\nto a few days, NATO member states must anticipate<br \/>\nthat states like Israel could opt for a kinetic \u201cPlan B\u201d<br \/>\nsolution to Iran\u2019s nuclear programme, with potential<br \/>\nnegative spill-over. With escalation likely before a<br \/>\nUN ban on missile trade with Iran expires in October 2023, concerned states should intensify pursuit of<br \/>\npeaceful alternatives.<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><a href=\"\/fr\/download\/downloads.php\/?icode=793\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"click to download (pdf)\"><br \/>\nDownload the publication<\/a> to keep reading.<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\">\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<div style=\"font-size: smaller; color: darkslategrey ; margin-top:-1em;\">\n<div>\n<div id=\"edn0\">\n        <sup>*<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref0\" name=\"_edn0\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>Associate Fellow at the London-based International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div>\n<div id=\"edn1\">\n        <sup>1<\/sup> <span class=\"np\"><a href=\"#_ednref1\" name=\"_edn1\" class=\"Subs\" >(back)<\/a><\/span> <\/p>\n<p>B. Ravid and H. Nichols, \u201cBiden in newly surfaced video: Iran nuclear<br \/>\ndeal is \u2018dead\u2019\u201d, Axios, 20 December 2022.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<hr style=\"height:1px; color:#e6e6e6;\">\n<\/p>\n<p class=\"eplus-wrapper\"><span class=\"np\"><a href=\"\/fr\/research\/research.php\/?icode=6\" target=\"_blank\">More Research Division Publications&#8230;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><em>NDC Public Affairs Office<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>NDC Policy Brief 03-2023: The Iran nuclear deal: consequences of moribund diplomacy, by Mark Fitzpatrick* On 4 November<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_eb_attr":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","advgb_blocks_editor_width":"","advgb_blocks_columns_visual_guide":"","editor_plus_copied_stylings":"{}","_EventAllDay":false,"_EventTimezone":"","_EventStartDate":"","_EventEndDate":"","_EventStartDateUTC":"","_EventEndDateUTC":"","_EventShowMap":false,"_EventShowMapLink":false,"_EventURL":"","_EventCost":"","_EventCostDescription":"","_EventCurrencySymbol":"","_EventCurrencyCode":"","_EventCurrencyPosition":"","_EventDateTimeSeparator":"","_EventTimeRangeSeparator":"","_EventOrganizerID":[],"_EventVenueID":[],"_OrganizerEmail":"","_OrganizerPhone":"","_OrganizerWebsite":"","_VenueAddress":"","_VenueCity":"","_VenueCountry":"","_VenueProvince":"","_VenueState":"","_VenueZip":"","_VenuePhone":"","_VenueURL":"","_VenueStateProvince":"","_VenueLat":"","_VenueLng":"","_VenueShowMap":false,"_VenueShowMapLink":false,"_themeisle_gutenberg_block_has_review":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"post_badge":[],"class_list":["post-13584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news"],"featured_image_src":null,"author_info":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"modified_by":null,"author_meta":{"display_name":"NDC","author_link":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/author\/admin_3rwqf6tj\/"},"featured_img":null,"featured_image_urls":{"full":"","thumbnail":"","medium":"","medium_large":"","large":"","1536x1536":"","2048x2048":"","trp-custom-language-flag":"","morenews-featured":"","morenews-large":"","morenews-medium":""},"category_info":"<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" rel=\"category tag\">News<\/a>","tag_info":"News","comment_count":0,"coauthors":[],"tax_additional":{"categories":{"linked":["<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/category\/news\/\" class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/a>"],"unlinked":["<span class=\"advgb-post-tax-term\">News<\/span>"]}},"relative_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 3 ans il y a","modified":"Mis \u00e0 jour 6 mois il y a"},"absolute_dates":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le f\u00e9vrier 17, 2023","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026"},"absolute_dates_time":{"created":"Publi\u00e9 le f\u00e9vrier 17, 2023 14:30","modified":"Mise \u00e0 jour le janvier 15, 2026 09:38"},"featured_img_caption":"","series_order":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13584","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13584"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13584\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13584"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13584"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13584"},{"taxonomy":"post_badge","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.ndc.nato.int\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_badge?post=13584"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}