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NDC - Research NDC Web site – Research –The War Series

The War Series


The War Series: Focuses on possible trajectories of ongoing or possible future conflicts, including how and where actors fight.

OutlookPlaying the long game - Russia in the Mediterranean
By Giangiuseppe PILI; Alessio ARMENZONI; Gary C. KESSLER; Diane M. ZORRI; Outlook No. 03-25 - February 2025
OutlookControlling the danger: managing the risks of AI-enabled nuclear systems
By Noah GREENEOutlook No. 07-24 - November 2024
OutlookInequality kills: on Russian combat ineffectiveness in Ukraine and beyond
By Pilster ULRICH; Olesya VINHAS DE SOUZA; Outlook No. 06-24 - October 2024
OutlookThe new NATO Force Model: ready for launch?
By John R. DENIOutlook No. 04-24 - May 2024
OutlookFloat like a butterfly, sting like a bee - How Allies adapt to drones
By Brian R. MILETICHOutlook No. 03-24 - May 2024
OutlookNATO and a Taiwan contingency
By James LEEOutlook No. 02-24 - April 2024
OutlookWho controls the past controls the future - How Russia uses history for cognitive warfare
By Daniel SHULTZOutlook No. 04 - December 2023
OutlookFifty shades of red: where does Russia draw the line?
By Polina SINOVETSOutlook No. 03 - November 2023
OutlookGhost ship - Russia’s secret naval fleet
By Jack CRAWFORD; Nick LOXTON; Giangiuseppe PILI; Outlook No. 01 - October 2023
NDC Research PaperWar changes everything: Russia after Ukraine
By Jānis BĒRZIŅŠ; Mark GALEOTTI; Tracey GERMAN; Marc OZAWA; Polina SINOVETS; NDC Research Paper No. 28 - February 2023Edited by Marc Ozawa
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Russian StudiesDefining the “Special Military Operation”
By Roger MCDERMOTT; Charles K. BARTLES; Russian Studies No. 05 - September 2022
Russian StudiesThe Problems of the Applied Theory of War
By Nazrin MEHDIYEVARussian Studies No. 04 - May 2022
NDC Research PaperWar in Europe: preliminary lessons
By Pierre DE DREUZY; Andrea GILLI; Marc OZAWA; LGEN Olivier RITTIMANN; Cynthia SALLOUM; Thierry TARDY; edited by Thierry Tardy NDC Research Paper No. 23 - May 2022
 
 
 
 
 
Russian StudiesEscalation and Deescalation of Crises, Armed Conflicts, and Wars
By Clint REACH Russian Studies No. 03 - March 2022
Russian StudiesRussian “Principles of Victory in Combat” and MCDP-1 Warfighting
By Clint REACH ; Anthony ATLER; Russian Studies No. 02 - February 2022
NDC Policy BriefRussia’s “total confrontation” on the Eastern flank
By Marc OZAWANDC Policy Brief No. 02 - January 2022
 
 
 
NDC Policy BriefNATO and human security
By Mary KALDORNDC Policy Brief No. 01 - January 2022
 
 
 
 
Russian Studies“Burya na Kavkaze” [Storm in the Caucasus]
By Rob LEERussian Studies No. 01 - January 2022
Russian StudiesDefining Russian Military Science
By Charles K. BARTLESRussian Studies No. 03 - July 2021
NDC Policy BriefNATO 2030 – The Military Dimension
By Heinrich BRAUSS; Christian MÖLLING; NDC Policy Brief No. 07 - April 2021
 
 
 
 
 
NDC Policy BriefDeterrence by detection: using surveillance to pre-empt opportunistic aggression
By Thomas G. MAHNKEN; Grace B. KIM; NDC Policy Brief No. 01 - January 2021
 
 
 
 
NDC Policy BriefThe pandemic and the military: towards total defence?
By Antonio MISSIROLI; Michael RÜHLE; NDC Policy Brief No. 21 - November 2020
NDC Policy BriefNATO’s needed offensive cyber capabilities
By Ion A. IFTIMIENDC Policy Brief No. 10 - May 2020
NDC Policy BriefTurkey’s military policy in Syria: implications for NATO
By Can KASAPOGLUNDC Policy Brief No. 04 - February 2020
Russian Studies“Topographic maps: the scientific principles of their content” and “Military topography”
By Alexander J. KENTRussian Studies No. 02 - February 2020
Russian StudiesRussian thoughts on hybrid war and colour revolutions
By Gudrun PERSSONRussian Studies No. 01 - January 2020
NDC Policy BriefImitation, innovation, disruption: challenges to NATO's superiority in military technology
By Andrea GILLI; Mauro GILLI; NDC Policy Brief No. 25 - December 2019
NDC Policy BriefFighting “Men in Jeans” in the grey zone between peace and war
By Peter BRAUNNDC Policy Brief No. 18 - August 2019
NDC Research PaperRussia’s Military Posture in the Arctic - Managing Hard Power in a “Low Tension” Environment
By Mathieu BOULÈGUENDC Research Paper No. 4 - July 2019
NDC Policy BriefThe necessary adaptation of NATO’s military instrument of power
By Jan BROEKSNDC Policy Brief No. 14 - June 2019
Russian StudiesIn the Service of Russia
By Gudrun PERSSONRussian Studies No. 05 - June 2019
NDC Policy BriefWhat NATO’s counter-terrorism strategy?
By Kris QUANTENNDC Policy Brief No. 12 - May 2019
Russian StudiesGeneral Gerasimov on the Vectors of the Development of Military Strategy
By Dave JOHNSONRussian Studies No. 04 - March 2019
NDC Policy BriefThe Great War legacy for NATO
By Ian HOPENDC Policy Brief No. 4 - November 2018
Russian StudiesPreparation and Conduct of Military Actions in Local Wars and Armed Conflicts
By Charles K. BARTLESRussian Studies No. 03 - October 2018
NDC Policy BriefProjecting stability in practice? NATO’s new training mission in Iraq
By Kevin KOEHLERNDC Policy Brief No. 2 - October 2018
Research PaperRussia’s hybrid warfare in the form of its energy manoeuvers against Europe: how the EU and NATO can respond together?
By Vira RATSIBORYNSKAResearch Paper No. 147 - June 2018
Fellowship MonographTheatre operations, high commands and large-scale exercises in Soviet and Russian military practice: insights and implications
By Diego A. RUIZ PALMERFellowship Monograph No. 12 - May 2018
Russian StudiesRussian Weapons in the Syrian Conflict
By Douglas BARRIE; Howard GETHIN; Russian Studies No. 02 - May 2018
Russian StudiesThe Russian State Armament Programme, 2018 – 2027
By Julian COOPERRussian Studies No. 01 - May 2018
Forum PaperMilitary Exercises: Political Messaging and Strategic Impact
By Jeffrey APPLEGET; Robert T. DAVIS II; Peter DOMBROWSKI; Ilay A. D. FERRIER; Ryan W. FRENCH; John GILL; Beatrice HEUSER; Tormod HEIER; Guillaume LASCONJARIAS; Jeffrey A LARSEN; Denis MERCIER; Jeffrey E. KLINE; Johan NORBERG; Spyridon PLAKOUDAS; Diego A. RUIZ PALMER; Erwin A. SCHMIDL; Olivier SCHMITT; James SHEAHAN; James W. WIRTZ; Amr YOSSEF; Christopher D. YUNG; NATO Defense College Forum Paper No. 26 - April 2018Foreword by General Denis Mercier, Supreme Allied Commander Transformation
Edited by Beatrice Heuser, Tormod Heier and Guillaume Lasconjarias
Research PaperNew Armies for a New Era - Decrypting post-2011 Arab Military Reform Trends
By Eleonora ARDEMAGNI; Umberto PROFAZIO; Research Paper No. 145 - March 2018
Research PaperClosing Sweden's Military Security Deficit: the National Debate on NATO Membership
By Ian ANTHONY; Carrie WEINTRAUB; Research Paper No. 144 - March 2018
Research PaperRussian Forward Military Basing in Armenia and Moscow’s Influence in the South Caucasus
By Can KASAPOGLUResearch Paper No. 143 - December 2017
Russian StudiesTowards a Dual Fleet? The Maritime Doctrine of the Russian Federation and the Modernisation of Russian Naval Capabilities
By Richard CONNOLLYRussian Studies No. 02 - June 2017
Research ReportMoscow in the Donbas: Command, Control, Crime and the Minsk Peace Process
By Donald N. JENSENResearch Report No. 01 - March 2017
Research PaperInsecurity in North Africa and the Mediterranean
By George JOFFÉResearch Paper No. 135 - January 2017
Research PaperHybrid or Not: Deterring and Defeating Russia's Ways of Warfare in the Baltics - the Case of Estonia
By Henrik PRAKSResearch Paper No. 124 - December 2015
Research PaperHybrid Warfare: Iranian and Russian Versions of "Little Green Men" and Contemporary Conflict
By Hall GARDNERResearch Paper No. 123 - December 2015
Conference ReportRethinking Deterrence and Assurance
By Paul BERNSTEINConference Report No. 04 - October 2015
Research PaperThreat Perception in Central Asia in Response to Russia-Ukraine: Kazakhstan Will Not Be Next
By Zhulduz BAIZAKOVA; Roger MCDERMOTT; Research Paper No. 119 - September 2015
Research PaperEfficacy, not Efficiency: Adjusting NATO's Military Integration
By Martin ZAPFEResearch Paper No. 118 - September 2015
Research PaperRussia's 2014 Military Doctrine and beyond: threat perceptions, capabilities and ambitions
By Polina SINOVETS; Bettina RENZ; Research Paper No. 117 - July 2015
Research PaperRussia’s Approach to Conflict – Implications for NATO’s Deterrence and Defence
By Dave JOHNSONResearch Paper No. 111 - April 2015
Conference ReportUkraine and its Neighbourhood - How to Deal with Aggressive Russia
By Caterina BECKER; Heidi REISINGER; Polina SINOVETS; Brooke A. SMITH-WINDSOR; Conference Report No. 02 - March 2015
Research PaperNATO’s Very High Readiness Joint Task Force - Can the VJTF give new élan to the NATO Response Force?
By Jan ABTSResearch Paper No. 109 - February 2015
Research PaperNuclear Arms Control: Implications from the Crisis in Ukraine
By Dániel BARTHA ; Anna PÉCZELI; Research Paper No. 108 - February 2015
Research PaperPlayer at the sidelines - NATO and the fight against ISIL
By Andreas JACOBS; Jean-Loup SAMAAN; Research Paper No. 107 - December 2014
Research PaperRussia's Hybrid Warfare -Waging War below the Radar of Traditional Collective Defence
By Heidi REISINGER; Aleksandr GOLTS; Research Paper No. 105 - November 2014
Research PaperThe “Home Game” - Countering Violent Extremism within NATO
By Jacqueline PAGEResearch Paper No. 104 - September 2014
Conference ReportAssisting Host Country Militaries - Assessing Lessons from NATO, EU, and Member State Experience
By Stephanie BLAIRConference Report No. - July 2014
Research PaperSend the Reserve! New Ways to Support NATO through Reserve Forces
En avant la réserve ! Renforcer l’OTAN grâce aux forces de réserve By Guillaume LASCONJARIASResearch Paper No. 99 - November 2013
Research ReportThe Curious Case of the Egyptian Armed Forces: What was at stake when the Egyptian Military intervened against President Morsi?
By Mona EL-KOUEDIResearch Report No. - July 2013
Conference Report"Political and Military Cooperation or NATO-Russian Roulette" Proactive Management of a Difficult Relationship
By Karl-Heinz KAMP; Heidi REISINGER; Conference Report No. - June 2013
Research PaperNATO's Maritime Strategy and the Libya Crisis as Seen from the Sea
La stratégie maritime de l'OTAN et la crise en Libye vue de la mer By Brooke A. SMITH-WINDSORResearch Paper No. 90 - March 2013
Research PaperWho Gives the Orders in the New Russian Military?
By Keir GILESResearch Paper No. 74 - March 2012
Research ReportThe NATO Mission in Afghanistan: Transitioning to Afghan Control
By NATO Defense College Research Report No. - September 2011
Research PaperBuilding a new military? The NATO Training Mission-Iraq
By Florence GAUBResearch Paper No. 67 - April 2011
Research ReportWhat to expect of the Egyptian army?
Qu’attendre de l’armée égyptienne ? By Pierre RAZOUXResearch Report No. - February 2011
Research ReportThe attack on Domodedovo
By Andrew MONAGHANResearch Report No. - January 2011
Russian StudiesUnderstanding the Georgia Conflict, Two Years On Reviews and Commentaries - Part 1: "The Tanks of August", edited by Ruslan Pukhov, Moscow: Centre for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, 2009.
By Keir GILESRussian Studies No. - September 2010
Russian StudiesUnderstanding the Georgia Conflict, Two Years On Reviews and Commentaries - Part 2: "Making Sense in Russia and the West"
By Keir GILESRussian Studies No. - September 2010
Forum PaperComplex Operations: NATO at war and on the margins of war
By Edited by Christopher M. Schnaubelt Forum Paper No. 14 - July 2010
Research PaperThe Moscow metro bombings and terrorism in Russia
By Andrew MONAGHANResearch Paper No. 59 - June 2010
Russian StudiesThe Military Doctrine of the Russian Federation 2010
By Keir GILESRussian Studies No. - February 2010
Russian StudiesReview of Larisa Kucherova's "KGB v Afghanistanye" (The KGB in Afghanistan)
By Gordon BENNETT Gordon Bennett Russian Studies No. - January 2010
Research ReportThe Russo-Georgian Conflict
By Andrew MONAGHANResearch Report No. 15 - August 2008
Occasional PaperCultural Challenges in Military Operations
By Editors: Cees M. COOPS and Tibor SZVIRCSEV TRESCH Occasional Paper No. 23 - October 2007
Occasional PaperDeactivating War: How Societies Demobilise after Armed Conflict
By Natalia SPRINGEROccasional Paper No. s - December 2006
Occasional PaperWhen Suicide Bombing Reaches the Tipping Point
By Samuel GRIEROccasional Paper No. 8 - October 2005
Research PaperGerman Foreign Policy in Crisis?
By Carlo MASALA Editorial Lionel PONSARD Research Paper No. 4 - May 2004
Research PaperLa Géorgie à la croisée des intérêts russes et américains
By Lionel PONSARD Editorial Jean DUFOURCQ Research Paper No. 3 - April 2004
Research PaperInfluencing Russian Public Opinion in order to Improve Russian Military Reform || La réglementation juridique de la solde du personnel militaire sous contrat en Russie: particularités, problèmes et perspectives || Criminal Influence/Control over the Russian Military-Industrial Complex in the Context of Global Security
By Igor SHARAVOV; Vladimir LEVANOV; Leonid Y. KOSALS; Editorial Lionel PONSARD Research Paper No. 1 - March 2004