NDC Outlook 06-2025, by Alexander Kott and Philip Perconti1
Summary
- We show that the accuracy of military technology forecasts is respectably high, 76% or better, depending on how an accurate forecast is defined.
- Long-term technology forecasting can be quite accurate and can inform NATO’s military research and development management decisions.
NDC Public Affairs Office
- – Alexander Kott is an Independent Consultant – Former Chief Scientist of the U.S. Army Research Laboratory
– Philip Perconti is Senior Vice President, CTO, Leonardo DRS – Former Director of the U.S. Army Research Laboratory ↩︎
Collège de Défense de l'OTAN