Playing the long game - Russia in the Mediterranean
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- NDC Outlook 03-2025: Playing the long game - Russia in the Mediterranean, by Giangiuseppe Pili, Alessio Armenzoni, Gary C. Kessler and Diane M. Zorri
Summary
- Russia has firmly re-established its presence in the Mediterranean.
- Satellite imagery and geospatial analysis reveal that Russia is currently more active in North Africa and the Middle East, including operating a shadow fleet of tankers that economically sustains Putin’s regime and its war efforts in Ukraine.
- Given its size and capabilities, the current Russian squadron is not intended to engage in a full-scale naval battle against any NATO fleet. Instead, it is deliberately kept weak enough to avoid being perceived as a major military threat.
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