NDC Outlook 04-2025, by Andrea Gilli and Mauro Gilli1

Summary
- Security scholars have traditionally looked at climate change from the perspective of civil wars, migrations and pervasive instability.
- NATO has recently started looking at climate change as one of the main threat–multipliers characterizing the current international system.
- Climate change can have a real impact on interstate rivalry and strategic competition, specifically by affecting water temperatures, currents and salinity, and thus sonar performance – a key asset in submarine and anti-submarine warfare.
NDC Public Affairs Office
- Andrea Gilli: Lecturer in Strategic Studies at St Andrews University and NDC Senior Non-Resident Associate Fellow
Mauro Gilli: Senior Researcher in Military Technology and International Security at ETH Zürich ↩︎

NATO Defense College