NDC Outlook 05-2025, by Alice Politi1

Summary
- China’s military expansion and its geopolitical ambitions, especially in the Indo-Pacific macro-area, potentially present growing challenges for NATO.
- Official documents show that the reunification with Taiwan plays a critical role in China’s 2049 “Great Rejuvenation” goals. However, China’s military capabilities are still too limited to allow for an intervention in Taiwan in the short term.
- Despite China’s rapid progress in outer space and military sectors, internal challenges such as slowing economic growth and demographic issues raise doubts about its ability to achieve long-term ambitions.
NDC Public Affairs Office
- PhD, Research Associate at the University of Cambridge
NDC Visiting Fellow ↩︎

NATO Defense College