The War Series

Outlook 2026-08

Tactical datalinks: why they matter to the future of war

Outlook 07 2026

Betting on blue: how to improve NATO military forecasting for acquisitions

outlook_2025-08_2

Two to tango: Russian-Iranian drone cooperation

NDC Outlook 03-2025: Playing the long game - Russia in the Mediterranean, by Giangiuseppe Pili, Alessio Armenzoni, Gary C. Kessler and Diane M. Zorri

Playing the long game – Russia in the Mediterranean

outlook_2024-07_2

Controlling the danger: managing the risks of AI-enabled nuclear systems

outlook_2024-06_2

Inequality kills: on Russian combat ineffectiveness in Ukraine and beyond

outlook_2024-04-2

The new NATO Force Model: ready for launch?

outlook_2024-03-2

Float like a butterfly, sting like a bee – How Allies adapt to drones

outlook_2024-02-2

NATO and a Taiwan contingency

Outlook_23-04_2

Who controls the past controls the future – How Russia uses history for cognitive warfare

The War Series

Focuses on possible trajectories of ongoing or possible future conflicts, including how and where actors fight.
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Hybrid Warfare: Iranian and Russian Versions of "Little Green Men" and Contemporary Conflict
551.28 KB

Research Paper No. 123 - December 2015
By Hall GARDNER

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Rethinking Deterrence and Assurance
425.58 KB

NDC Conference Report N. 04 - October 2015
Paul BERNSTEIN

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Threat Perception in Central Asia in Response to Russia-Ukraine: Kazakhstan Will Not Be Next
844.70 KB

Research Paper No. 119 - September 2015
By Zhulduz BAIZAKOVA; Roger MCDERMOTT;

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Efficacy, not Efficiency: Adjusting NATO's Military Integration
474.04 KB

Research Paper No. 118 - September 2015
By Martin ZAPFE

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Russia's 2014 Military Doctrine and beyond: threat perceptions, capabilities and ambitions
474.04 KB

Research Paper
NATO Defense College
No. 117 July 2015

Polina Sinovets

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Russia’s Approach to Conflict – Implications for NATO’s Deterrence and Defence
20.00 KB

Research Paper No. 111 - April 2015
By Dave JOHNSON

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Ukraine and its Neighbourhood – How to Deal with Aggressive Russia
380.06 KB

NDC Conference Report N. 02 - March 2015
Caterina BECKER; Heidi REISINGER; Polina SINOVETS; Brooke A. SMITH-WINDSOR;

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Nuclear Arms Control: Implications from the Crisis in Ukraine
20.00 KB

Research Paper No. 108 - February 2015
By Dániel BARTHA ; Anna PÉCZELI;