Florence Gaub
Research Division Director
Areas of expertise:
Strategic foresight, geopolitics,
defence & security
Florence Gaub is Director of the Research Division at the NATO Defense College (Rome).
Florence, a French-German national, has held key positions such as deputy director at the EU Institute for Security Studies, foresight advisor at the EU Council, and special advisor to EU Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič.
Beginning her career at NATO’s Middle East Faculty in 2009, she now focuses on strategic foresight and geopolitical trends. Her publications include the bestseller *Zukunft: Eine Bedienungsanleitung* (2023), the EU’s *Global Trends to 2030* (2019), and *The Cauldron: NATO’s Libya Operation* (2018).
Florence serves on the World Economic Forum’s Global Future Council on Complex Risks and is a member of the World Science Fiction Society. She holds a PhD from Humboldt University and degrees from Sciences Po Paris, the Sorbonne, and the University of Munich.
NDC Publications by Florence Gaub
- NATO 2099 – The science fiction anthology
- NATO 2099 : A graphic novel
- NATO 2099: Un roman graphique
- What if…? 12 Dragon King scenarios for 2028
- Six Strategic Lessons learned from Libya: NATO’s Operation Unified Protector
- Libya: Avoiding State Failure
- Towards a Comprehensive Approach: Strategic and Operational Challenges
- Libya in Limbo: How to Fill the Security Vacuum
- Building a new military? The NATO Training Mission-Iraq
- NATO in Libya: The Alliance between emergency help and nation building
- The Arab Explosion: Questions and Options for NATO
- NATO: peacekeeping in the Holy Land? A feasibility study


NATO Defense College